As the US presidential election edges closer on November 5, global interest is intensifying. While this decision rests with American voters, the international influence of the U.S. means that leaders worldwide are observing closely, with subtle inclinations emerging. Here’s how key global players like Russia’s Vladimir Putin, China’s Xi Jinping, Israel’s Benjamin Netanyahu, and European leaders may be leaning.
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Vladimir Putin, Russia
While Putin has not formally endorsed a candidate, “Putin would love Trump as president for various reasons,” notes Timothy Ash from Chatham House. Putin reportedly sees Trump as “soft on Russia,” with potential to negotiate a more favorable outcome in Ukraine, cutting military aid and possibly easing sanctions. Ash adds, “Putin looks at Trump and sees a mirror image of himself: an authoritarian, sociopath.” This mutual dynamic could mean Putin envisions Trump as the leader more likely to sow discord within NATO and the EU, advancing his own agenda of weakening Western alliances.
Putin has previously expressed admiration for Trump, calling him “bright and talented,” and the two reportedly have maintained communication since Trump’s first term. Bob Woodward’s recent book details allegations of phone calls between the two post-2021, although Trump’s team denies it.
Xi Jinping, China
China’s Xi Jinping, meanwhile, has publicly avoided endorsing either candidate. Under Trump, U.S.-China relations were marked by an escalating trade war, which persisted under the Biden administration. “Xi probably wants Harris, as does Iran,” Ash notes, suggesting China might expect more diplomatic continuity under a Harris administration. Yet, Trump has maintained his relationship with Xi, calling him a “great guy” despite the economic friction.
Benjamin Netanyahu, Israel
Israel’s Benjamin Netanyahu, a long-time Trump ally, appears to lean towards Trump, although no public endorsement has been made. During Trump’s first term, Netanyahu lauded him as “the greatest friend that Israel has ever had in the White House.” Their relationship hit a bump post-2020, but Netanyahu has sought to rekindle the connection, even visiting Trump at Mar-a-Lago in July. In light of ongoing U.S. support for Israel amid its Gaza conflict, a Trump victory could mean a return to more direct backing.
European and NATO Leaders
European leaders largely favor Harris, likely anticipating continued stability in U.S. relations and alignment on climate initiatives. Germany’s Olaf Scholz commented on Harris’s leadership potential, saying, “I know her well; she would certainly be a good president.” Trump’s past threats to withdraw from NATO and demands for increased defense spending have strained U.S.-Europe relations. Harris, expected to support Biden’s Inflation Reduction Act, aligns with European renewable energy policies, whereas Trump’s push for fossil fuel production could unsettle energy collaborations.
Narendra Modi, India
In India, PM Narendra Modi’s stance is relatively neutral. During Trump’s presidency, Modi cultivated a close relationship, but he was also one of the first to congratulate Biden. The bipartisan consensus in Washington around strengthening ties with India remains strong. Michael Kugelman of the Wilson Center notes that Trump’s non-interference in India’s internal affairs might appeal to Modi, while Harris represents continuity in defense and tech cooperation.
World’s Eye on November 5
While the American vote will decide the outcome, world leaders are watching closely, each assessing which administration might align best with their nation’s interests. With global alliances, trade, and climate issues on the line, the November 5 decision could set a new course for the world order.